Pre-tourney Rankings
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2014-15


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
107 Iona 0.0%   26 - 8 17 - 3 26 - 8 17 - 3 +3.8      +1.9 107 +1.9 107 78.6 7 +5.6 88 +7.0 1
152 Manhattan 100.0%   16   19 - 13 13 - 7 19 - 13 13 - 7 +0.8      +0.4 152 +0.4 152 72.4 46 +0.5 158 +0.8 4
164 Rider 0.0%   21 - 11 15 - 5 21 - 11 15 - 5 -0.1      -0.1 164 -0.1 164 64.3 230 +2.0 138 +3.8 2
173 Canisius 0.0%   16 - 14 11 - 9 16 - 14 11 - 9 -0.6      -0.3 173 -0.3 173 63.5 255 -1.0 184 -1.6 5
180 Quinnipiac 0.0%   15 - 15 9 - 11 15 - 15 9 - 11 -1.1      -0.6 180 -0.6 180 70.3 81 -2.8 218 -4.1 6
185 Monmouth 0.0%   18 - 15 13 - 7 18 - 15 13 - 7 -1.4      -0.7 185 -0.7 185 64.6 218 -1.0 181 +1.1 3
193 St. Peter's 0.0%   16 - 18 8 - 12 16 - 18 8 - 12 -1.6      -0.8 193 -0.8 193 57.8 338 -3.1 222 -5.3 7
270 Siena 0.0%   11 - 20 7 - 13 11 - 20 7 - 13 -5.7      -2.9 270 -2.9 270 70.6 72 -5.5 259 -6.1 9
293 Fairfield 0.0%   7 - 24 5 - 15 7 - 24 5 - 15 -7.1      -3.5 293 -3.5 293 61.0 302 -9.6 313 -8.9 11
299 Niagara 0.0%   8 - 22 7 - 13 8 - 22 7 - 13 -7.9      -3.9 299 -3.9 299 66.9 152 -8.0 299 -6.0 8
305 Marist 0.0%   7 - 25 5 - 15 7 - 25 5 - 15 -8.4      -4.2 305 -4.2 305 66.3 168 -9.2 309 -8.7 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Iona 1.0 100.0
Manhattan 3.0 100.0
Rider 2.0 100.0
Canisius 5.0 100.0
Quinnipiac 6.0 100.0
Monmouth 3.0 100.0
St. Peter's 7.0 100.0
Siena 8.0 100.0
Fairfield 10.0 100.0
Niagara 8.0 100.0
Marist 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Iona 17 - 3 100.0
Manhattan 13 - 7 100.0
Rider 15 - 5 100.0
Canisius 11 - 9 100.0
Quinnipiac 9 - 11 100.0
Monmouth 13 - 7 100.0
St. Peter's 8 - 12 100.0
Siena 7 - 13 100.0
Fairfield 5 - 15 100.0
Niagara 7 - 13 100.0
Marist 5 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Iona 100.0% 100.0
Manhattan
Rider
Canisius
Quinnipiac
Monmouth
St. Peter's
Siena
Fairfield
Niagara
Marist


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Iona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Manhattan 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   0.1 1.4 98.6
Rider 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Canisius 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Quinnipiac 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Monmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Peter's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Siena 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Fairfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Niagara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Marist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Iona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Manhattan 100.0% 91.2% 63.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rider 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Canisius 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Quinnipiac 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Monmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Peter's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Siena 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Niagara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 63.9% 0.6 36.1 63.9
2nd Round 1.4% 0.0 98.6 1.4
Sweet Sixteen 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0